The explanation of "market value" in
this article applies to single family houses only. Different
methods apply to apartments and other commercial real estate.
The meaning of "market value" confuses
many people. As consumers, most people shop at retail stores
and pay the price printed on the price tag. A sweater is
worth $24.95 because the price tag says so. A hammer is
worth $10.95 because the price tag says so. We really don't
question it, because we are programmed to pay the amount
of money listed on the price tag.
When stores have sales on certain items, it is because
the store did not sell all of these items for the listed
price within a certain period of time. The sweater was not
worth $24.95 to enough people. Therefore, the store must
now lower the price to persuade people to buy the remaining
sweaters.
At the beginning of the Fall clothing season, the market
value of the sweater was $24.95. In March, when we have more
interest in Spring clothes, the market value may drop to
$9.95.
Market value is simply the price at
which something will sell within a reasonable period of
time. In a normal or average real estate market, "reasonable" means
one to three months. Here is our definition:
Market value is the price at which a particular house, in
its current condition, will sell within 30 to 90 days.
This definition contains three elements:
1. Particular house
2. Current condition
3. 30 to 90 days
The only real measure of market value is what a particular
house sells for. Period. However, unless you have a crystal
ball, you might think you cannot predict how much someone
will pay for the house in the future.
Not true. You can learn to come very close to predicting
the true market value of any house even without a crystal
ball. Real estate appraisers do it every day. Even so, the
appraisal of real estate is more art than science. An appraisal
is only an opinion, an educated guess. Let's start learning
to predict market value by analyzing each of the three elements
of our definition.
The particular house
When you determine market value, you must always remember
that you are estimating the market value of one particular
house. The location, or neighborhood, of this particular
house is the starting point for your investigation. The exact
same house in the next city, or even on the other side of
the same city, is not relevant to this determination.
For example, a house located in La Jolla, California could
be worth half a million dollars. But if the exact same house
were located in San Diego (the city next door) it might be
worth only $225,000. That's still a hefty price. But it's
less than half the price of the La Jolla house.
Although this may seem like an extreme example, house prices
throughout the country fluctuate significantly from city
to city and from neighborhood to neighborhood. Therefore,
whenever you determine the market value of one particular
house, you must compare it only with similar houses in the
same or nearby neighborhoods.
Current condition
Next, you must assess the current condition of the particular
house. The current condition determines the number of buyers
who are interested in purchasing the property, which affects
the amount of time the house remains for sale on the market
before it is sold.
Most home buyers want to buy the prettiest house on the
block. Is the house gorgeous and ready to move into? Or is
it a dump that needs a major renovation?
Simply subtracting the amount of estimated fix-up costs
from the selling price of other similar houses in the same
neighborhood is not an accurate way to determine current
market value for a particular house. If a house in good condition
could sell for $80,000 and the house you are interested in
needs $4,000 worth of repairs, that does not mean the current
market value of your house is $76,000.
Here's why: Far fewer buyers want to buy a house that doesn't
look pretty. When a house attracts fewer buyers, it takes
longer for the house to sell. To attract more buyers and
sell the house sooner, the price must be reduced by much
more than the mere cost of repairs.
Although the current condition of the house is an essential
element of market value, it is almost impossible to determine
exactly how much the physical condition of the house affects
its value. This simply is not an exact science. As a general
rule, you should be fairly safe if you subtract two to three
times the amount of the fix-up costs.
30 to 90 days
In a normal real estate market, if a house doesn't sell
within one to three months (30 to 90 days), the reason is
simple: The price is too high. Even perfect houses don't
sell within this time frame if the price is too high. On
the other hand, if a house sells within one to two weeks,
the asking price was probably too low. A house that sells
within one to three months is priced at the true market value
of the house.
Imagine this scenario. It will take a year to sell a particular
house for $100,000, six months to sell it for $90,000 and
one week to sell it for $70,000. The price that will sell
this house within one to three months lies somewhere between
$90,000 and $70,000. The price that will sell this house
in one to three months is probably right around $80,000,
its true market value.
Market Value is simply the price at
which something will sell within a reasonable period of
time. I'll explain exactly how to use "comparable sales" to
calculate the current market value of a particular house
next time.
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